Slovan Liberec 4-1 Slovacko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovacko EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.34/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.06
-9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
34.0 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Liberec
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Slovacko
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Slovacko Slovacko 1-1 HT 1-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
11.02.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-1 HT 0-0 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
28.08.2022 Slovacko Slovacko 1-2 HT 0-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
20.04.2022 Slovacko Slovacko 2-0 HT 1-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
25.07.2021 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-1 HT 0-1 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
10.04.2021 Slovacko Slovacko 1-0 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Liberec
4-1
AWAY Slovacko
2.10 xG 0.30
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 0
266 Passes 236
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slovan Liberec vs Slovacko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Liberec ran out comfortable winners over Slovacko 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Slovan Liberec as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Slovan Liberec had 52% of the ball to Slovacko's 48%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.10 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovacko led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Slovan Liberec and 1.17 for Slovacko.

What was the final score of Slovan Liberec vs Slovacko?

Slovan Liberec 4-1 Slovacko in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Liberec vs Slovacko?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Slovan Liberec 43%, draw 26%, Slovacko 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovan Liberec) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slovan Liberec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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