Queen Of The South 1-2 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.07
6+ Goals
13%
9.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-12.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
41%
Away Win
28%
+13.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 32%
-20% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -11%
1.78/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.35
+8% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
10.02.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
18.11.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-3 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
30.09.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 3-1 HT 1-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
06.05.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 4-1 HT 2-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
18.02.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 3-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
10.01.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKCK
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts squeezed past Queen Of The South 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kelty Hearts as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Queen Of The South and 1.67 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Kelty Hearts?

Queen Of The South 1-2 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 33%, draw 26%, Kelty Hearts 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kelty Hearts), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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