Stirling Albion 1-5 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
3.22
6+ Goals
13%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.96/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.45
+29% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stirling Albion
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
6 Corners 11
10.02.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK1
04.11.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-2 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
12.08.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK1
18.07.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-2 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İKLK
23.07.2019 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İKLK
14.08.2018 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 3-1 HT 2-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İKCK
POST-MATCH Stirling Albion vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic swept aside Stirling Albion 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Alloa Athletic made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stirling Albion and 1.50 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Stirling Albion vs Alloa Athletic?

Stirling Albion 1-5 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Albion vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stirling Albion 36%, draw 26%, Alloa Athletic 37%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5
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