Forfar Athletic 0-2 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

Forfar Athletic
0-2 HT 0-0
Dumbarton
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 29% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forfar Athletic v Dumbarton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.11/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.62
-14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dumbarton
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-2 HT 2-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
16.12.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-4 HT 2-3 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
19.08.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 3-1 HT 0-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
29.03.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
14.01.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
19.11.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-2 HT 1-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton saw off Forfar Athletic 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Dumbarton found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Forfar Athletic and 2.00 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton?

Forfar Athletic 0-2 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forfar Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 38%, draw 27%, Dumbarton 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Forfar Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forfar Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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