Dumbarton 2-2 Forfar Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 30% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +29%
1.59/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.78
-10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +94%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Forfar Athletic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
16.12.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-4 HT 2-3 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
19.08.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 3-1 HT 0-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
29.03.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
14.01.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
19.11.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-2 HT 1-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
01.10.2022 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton and Forfar Athletic shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dumbarton and 1.33 for Forfar Athletic.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic?

Dumbarton 2-2 Forfar Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 40%, draw 26%, Forfar Athletic 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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