Spartans 1-2 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 10 Feb 2024

Spartans
1-2 HT 0-0
Elgin City
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Spartans vs Elgin City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.39
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.42 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+1.2pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartans v Elgin City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -28%
1.99/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.39
-2% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Spartans vs Elgin City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartans
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Elgin City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-4 HT 0-3 Spartans Spartans İK2
19.08.2023 Spartans Spartans 2-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
24.10.2015 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İKK
POST-MATCH Spartans vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City squeezed past Spartans 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Spartans carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Spartans had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Spartans and 0.67 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Spartans vs Elgin City?

Spartans 1-2 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Spartans 59%, draw 20%, Elgin City 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartans), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartans) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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