Cardiff City 1-3 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.32
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.6
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
10%
6.05
X/2
13%
4.79
X/X
16%
4.11
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
3.33
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
0.85/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.00
-26% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
279 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
17.9 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hull City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.10 xG 1.45
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
358 Passes 362
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.12.2023 Hull City Hull City 3-0 HT 1-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
04.02.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
08.11.2022 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-3 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
15.04.2022 Hull City Hull City 2-1 HT 2-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
24.11.2021 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-1 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
22.07.2020 Cardiff City Cardiff City 3-0 HT 2-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
1-3
AWAY Hull City
0.58 xG 1.59
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
338 Passes 482
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cardiff City vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City got the better of Cardiff City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hull City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cardiff City had 44% of the ball to Hull City's 56%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.58 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hull City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cardiff City and 1.67 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Hull City?

Cardiff City 1-3 Hull City in the England - Championship on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 29%, draw 28%, Hull City 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hull City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hull City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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