Brommapojkarna 2-2 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 28% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.97
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
12%
6.85
X/2
15%
4.66
X/X
16%
4.63
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.89
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.11/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.23
-39% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
23.0 Crosses 20.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brommapojkarna
0W-2D-4L
AWAY AIK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.07 xG 1.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
374 Passes 421
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2023 AIK AIK 2-2 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
01.07.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-2 AIK AIK İSÇ
24.03.2019 AIK AIK 2-2 HT 2-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna HAZ
19.08.2018 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
22.07.2018 AIK AIK 5-1 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
19.10.2014 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-4 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brommapojkarna
2-2
AWAY AIK
2.24 xG 1.57
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
382 Passes 467
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
39 Box Touches 30
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brommapojkarna vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brommapojkarna and AIK couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Brommapojkarna had 47% of the ball to AIK's 53%, shots finished 21-19, expected goals 2.24 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brommapojkarna and 2.83 for AIK.

What was the final score of Brommapojkarna vs AIK?

Brommapojkarna 2-2 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brommapojkarna vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated an AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Brommapojkarna 32%, draw 29%, AIK 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AIK) ✗ Under 2.5
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