Mjallby 3-0 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.92
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.99
6+ Goals
10%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.03
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
16%
4.6
X/2
12%
6.52
X/X
11%
4.36
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
12%
4.94
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.41/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.42
+16% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.6 Crosses 16.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Norrköping
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.88 xG 1.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 348
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
18.09.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 0-2 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
16.07.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-2 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
10.10.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 2-2 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
26.06.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
28.10.2021 Norrköping Norrköping 2-2 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
11.07.2021 Mjallby Mjallby 0-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
3-0
AWAY Norrköping
4.09 xG 0.45
58% Ball Possession 42%
26 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
358 Passes 237
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
42 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby swept aside Norrköping 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mjallby had 58% of the ball to Norrköping's 42%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 4.09 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norrköping led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mjallby and 1.33 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Norrköping?

Mjallby 3-0 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 42%, draw 26%, Norrköping 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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