Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Mallorca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.44
Over 2.5
41%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
6.65
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.38
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.95
X/1
16%
3.54
X/2
12%
9.69
X/X
12%
3.55
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
9%
9.43
2/X
7%
19.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
66%
-7.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
34%
+7.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mallorca EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.89/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.42
-4% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
26.3 Crosses 14.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mallorca
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.52 xG 0.88
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
387 Passes 214
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2024 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 4-0 HT 2-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
03.09.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 0-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
01.05.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 1-1 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
15.08.2022 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
14.02.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 3-2 HT 2-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
11.09.2021 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao
1-1
AWAY Mallorca
2.17 xG 0.52
68% Ball Possession 32%
30 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
601 Passes 213
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
36 Box Touches 13
46 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao and Mallorca shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 68% of the ball to Mallorca's 32%, shots finished 30-13, expected goals 2.17 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 0.67 for Mallorca.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca?

Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Mallorca in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 46%, draw 27%, Mallorca 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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