Stade Ouchy 0-2 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.63
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
9%
6.72
X/2
15%
4.86
X/X
12%
4.89
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
16%
2.94
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.01/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.31
-26% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
16.0 Crosses 19.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Basel
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 0.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
319 Passes 343
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
01.10.2023 Basel Basel 0-3 HT 0-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV
30.10.2019 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-2 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
0-2
AWAY Basel
0.37 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
330 Passes 293
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 28
6 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel beat Stade Ouchy 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Basel made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 52% of the ball to Basel's 48%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.37 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stade Ouchy and 1.00 for Basel.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Basel?

Stade Ouchy 0-2 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 37%, draw 26%, Basel 37%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İSV More Switzerland - Super League
6 Apr 2024
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