Fiorenzuola 2-0 Alessandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.98
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
54%
-17.6pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
33%
Away Win
18%
+14.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorenzuola EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Alessandria EU Bookmakers 21%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.00/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.12
-37% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorenzuola
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Alessandria
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Alessandria Alessandria 0-1 HT 0-1 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola İTC
26.03.2023 Alessandria Alessandria 1-1 HT 1-1 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola İTC
26.11.2022 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola 0-0 HT 0-0 Alessandria Alessandria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorenzuola
2-0
AWAY Alessandria
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fiorenzuola vs Alessandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorenzuola beat Alessandria 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Fiorenzuola found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fiorenzuola had 48% of the ball to Alessandria's 52%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fiorenzuola had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fiorenzuola and 0.33 for Alessandria.

What was the final score of Fiorenzuola vs Alessandria?

Fiorenzuola 2-0 Alessandria in the Italy - Serie C on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorenzuola vs Alessandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorenzuola win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fiorenzuola 36%, draw 32%, Alessandria 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorenzuola), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorenzuola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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