SSC Giugliano 0-1 SS Monopoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.4
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.0
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.40/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.00
+15% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Giugliano
3W-0D-0L
AWAY SS Monopoli
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
12 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
04.12.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-3 HT 0-3 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
19.03.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-3 HT 1-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
20.11.2022 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 2-1 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
0-1
AWAY SS Monopoli
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs SS Monopoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli squeezed past SSC Giugliano 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was SSC Giugliano at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 53% of the ball to SS Monopoli's 47%, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, SSC Giugliano had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for SSC Giugliano and 1.00 for SS Monopoli.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs SS Monopoli?

SSC Giugliano 0-1 SS Monopoli in the Italy - Serie C on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs SS Monopoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Giugliano win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 43%, draw 27%, SS Monopoli 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SSC Giugliano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SSC Giugliano) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
6 Apr 2024
17:15 Trento AC vs GIANA Erminio Analysis →
17:15 Pro Vercelli vs AlbinoLeffe Analysis →
17:15 Sorrento Calcio vs US Latina Analysis →
19:30 Taranto vs Rossoblu Potenza Analysis →
19:30 Legnago Salus vs Pro Sesto Analysis →
19:30 Fiorenzuola vs Alessandria Analysis →