Hoffenheim U19 1-2 Ingolstadt U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
27%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-14.5pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
13%
+14.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim U19 EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt U19 EU Bookmakers 16%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.49
+76% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ingolstadt U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
21.10.2023 Ingolstadt U19 Ingolstadt U19 0-2 HT 0-2 Hoffenheim U19 Hoffenheim U19 ALU19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim U19
1-2
AWAY Ingolstadt U19
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim U19 vs Ingolstadt U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt U19 nicked a narrow win over Hoffenheim U19 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hoffenheim U19 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Hoffenheim U19 had 50% of the ball to Ingolstadt U19's 50%, shots finished 22-15.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim U19 vs Ingolstadt U19?

Hoffenheim U19 1-2 Ingolstadt U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim U19 vs Ingolstadt U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim U19 54%, draw 19%, Ingolstadt U19 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoffenheim U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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