Banfield 0-1 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

Banfield
0-1 HT 0-1
Independiente
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Banfield vs Independiente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.38
Over 2.5
35%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
14%
6.89
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.39
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.45
X/1
10%
5.24
X/2
14%
4.97
X/X
12%
3.34
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
4.09
2/X
10%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
69%
-4.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
31%
+4.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.1pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Banfield v Independiente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banfield EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +25%
1.27/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.99
-15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
24.1 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Banfield vs Independiente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banfield
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Independiente
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.02 xG 0.73
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
220 Passes 325
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.11.2023 Independiente Independiente 0-0 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
27.02.2023 Banfield Banfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
17.10.2022 Independiente Independiente 1-0 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
01.12.2021 Banfield Banfield 4-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
07.12.2019 Independiente Independiente 0-1 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
23.09.2018 Banfield Banfield 1-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ

Banfield 0-1 Independiente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banfield
0-1
AWAY Independiente
0.77 xG 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
263 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 21
34 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Banfield vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente squeezed past Banfield 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Independiente found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Banfield had 47% of the ball to Independiente's 53%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.77 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banfield had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Banfield and 0.50 for Independiente.

What was the final score of Banfield vs Independiente?

Banfield 0-1 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banfield vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Banfield 30%, draw 30%, Independiente 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
6 Apr 2024
01:30 Velez Sarsfield vs Argentinos Juniors Analysis →
23:00 Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors Analysis →