Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Argentinos Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

Velez Sarsfield
0-0 HT 0-0
Argentinos Juniors
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Velez Sarsfield vs Argentinos Juniors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.89
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 37% vs market 34.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.13
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
18%
4.41
X/2
11%
6.41
X/X
10%
3.88
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
11%
5.27
2/X
8%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.7pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Velez Sarsfield v Argentinos Juniors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.18/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.12
+15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.7 Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Velez Sarsfield vs Argentinos Juniors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Sarsfield
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.83 xG 1.05
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
272 Passes 314
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-1 HT 0-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
13.06.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-1 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
23.10.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-0 HT 1-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
22.03.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
24.11.2021 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 2-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
27.02.2021 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-2 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ

Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Argentinos Juniors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velez Sarsfield
0-0
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
0.82 xG 0.70
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
294 Passes 238
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Velez Sarsfield vs Argentinos Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Sarsfield and Argentinos Juniors fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Velez Sarsfield at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Velez Sarsfield had 54% of the ball to Argentinos Juniors's 46%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.82 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Argentinos Juniors led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Velez Sarsfield and 0.83 for Argentinos Juniors.

What was the final score of Velez Sarsfield vs Argentinos Juniors?

Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Sarsfield vs Argentinos Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Velez Sarsfield 46%, draw 27%, Argentinos Juniors 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
6 Apr 2024
03:00 Banfield vs Independiente Analysis →
23:00 Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors Analysis →