Avondale Heights 4-0 Altona Magic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

Avondale Heights
4-0 HT 2-0
Altona Magic
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒07:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Avondale Heights vs Altona Magic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.17
Over 2.5
66%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.63
No
39%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-13.1pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.4pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.9pp
34%
Under 2.5
28%
+5.4pp
66%
Over 2.5
72%
-5.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
57%
+3.8pp
39%
BTTS No
43%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avondale Heights v Altona Magic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
2.86/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.59
+16% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.5 Crosses 20.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Avondale Heights vs Altona Magic Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avondale Heights
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Altona Magic
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.92 xG 0.82
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 Passes 303
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.05.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 2-5 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
25.02.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 3-0 HT 0-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
16.07.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 0-1 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
16.04.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 3-0 HT 2-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
06.03.2021 Altona Magic Altona Magic 2-2 HT 0-2 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Avondale Heights vs Altona Magic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights swept aside Altona Magic 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avondale Heights as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Avondale Heights and 0.80 for Altona Magic.

What was the final score of Avondale Heights vs Altona Magic?

Avondale Heights 4-0 Altona Magic in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avondale Heights vs Altona Magic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Avondale Heights 60%, draw 21%, Altona Magic 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avondale Heights), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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