Clarence Zebras 2-6 Kingborough Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.71
Draw
33%
4.62
Away
33%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.32
No
50%
3.06
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
18%
+15.4pp
33%
Draw
18%
+15.0pp
33%
Away Win
64%
-30.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
72%
-21.5pp
50%
BTTS No
28%
+21.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clarence Zebras EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 69%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.40/4.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.08/1.17
+100% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clarence Zebras
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Kingborough Lions
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 2-5 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
17.06.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-2 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
02.04.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 3-6 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
12.08.2022 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 4-2 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
18.06.2022 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 0-4 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
04.05.2022 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 5-0 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
POST-MATCH Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kingborough Lions cruised past Clarence Zebras 6-2 away from home. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Kingborough Lions found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kingborough Lions led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Clarence Zebras and 4.17 for Kingborough Lions.

What was the final score of Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions?

Clarence Zebras 2-6 Kingborough Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Clarence Zebras win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Clarence Zebras 33%, draw 33%, Kingborough Lions 33%. The final score 2-6 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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