Arabi 4-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-9.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.0pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.73/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.08
+7% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-3 HT 1-1 Arabi BAE2
05.02.2023 Arabi 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
25.09.2022 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 1-1 HT 1-0 Arabi BAE2
19.02.2022 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 1-2 HT 1-0 Arabi BAE2
06.11.2021 Arabi 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
4-1
AWAY Al Jazira Al Hamra
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al Jazira Al Hamra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi swept aside Al Jazira Al Hamra 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Arabi found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Arabi had 56% of the ball to Al Jazira Al Hamra's 44%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arabi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Arabi and 1.20 for Al Jazira Al Hamra.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Arabi 4-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra in the UAE - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arabi 38%, draw 27%, Al Jazira Al Hamra 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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