Masafi 1-1 Gulf Heroes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.97
Over 2.5
60%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
47%
-7.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
53%
+7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masafi EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Gulf Heroes EU Bookmakers 22%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.11/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.54
-45% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masafi
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Gulf Heroes
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
30.09.2023 Gulf Heroes 0-2 HT 0-1 Masafi Masafi BAE2
16.04.2023 Gulf Heroes 3-4 HT 2-1 Masafi Masafi BAE2
16.12.2022 Masafi Masafi 1-1 HT 1-0 Gulf Heroes BAE2
23.04.2022 Masafi Masafi 2-0 HT 1-0 Gulf Heroes BAE2
09.01.2022 Gulf Heroes 1-0 HT 1-0 Masafi Masafi BAE2
POST-MATCH Masafi vs Gulf Heroes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masafi and Gulf Heroes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Masafi at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Masafi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Masafi and 1.00 for Gulf Heroes.

What was the final score of Masafi vs Gulf Heroes?

Masafi 1-1 Gulf Heroes in the UAE - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masafi vs Gulf Heroes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Masafi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Masafi 49%, draw 21%, Gulf Heroes 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Masafi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Masafi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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