Dender EH 3-0 Deinze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 27% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.8pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Deinze EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -21%
1.52/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.18
-23% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
409 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
19.6 Crosses 18.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Deinze
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.10 xG 1.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
331 Passes 402
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Deinze Deinze 1-1 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL2
10.03.2023 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
05.02.2023 Dender EH Dender EH 0-1 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
16.09.2022 Deinze Deinze 0-2 HT 0-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
3-0
AWAY Deinze
1.14 xG 0.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 Passes 396
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Deinze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH swept aside Deinze 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dender EH as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dender EH had 43% of the ball to Deinze's 57%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.14 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dender EH had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dender EH and 0.50 for Deinze.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Deinze?

Dender EH 3-0 Deinze in the Belgium - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Deinze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 49%, draw 22%, Deinze 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dender EH), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dender EH) ✓ BTTS No
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