Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1 Club Brugge II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.78
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
16%
7.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge II EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.98/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.66
+55% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
27.0 Crosses 14.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Club Brugge II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
352 Passes 327
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 3-2 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
08.04.2023 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 0-1 HT 0-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
01.04.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-2 HT 1-0 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
01.02.2023 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 1-0 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
21.08.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1 HT 2-1 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
11.04.2021 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 2-0 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
3-1
AWAY Club Brugge II
1.60 xG 0.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
251 Passes 467
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs Club Brugge II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen beat Club Brugge II 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lierse Kempenzonen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 39% of the ball to Club Brugge II's 61%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.60 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lierse Kempenzonen and 1.50 for Club Brugge II.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs Club Brugge II?

Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1 Club Brugge II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs Club Brugge II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lierse Kempenzonen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 42%, draw 28%, Club Brugge II 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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