ES Ben Aknoun 3-2 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.67
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Ben Aknoun EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 26%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.07/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/2.28
-21% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -51%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Ben Aknoun
0W-1D-0L
AWAY USM Khenchela
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26% Ball Possession 74%
2 Total Shots 22
0 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
25.11.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Ben Aknoun
3-2
AWAY USM Khenchela
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ES Ben Aknoun vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Ben Aknoun nicked a narrow win over USM Khenchela 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ES Ben Aknoun as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ES Ben Aknoun had 43% of the ball to USM Khenchela's 57%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of ES Ben Aknoun vs USM Khenchela?

ES Ben Aknoun 3-2 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Ben Aknoun vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Ben Aknoun win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split ES Ben Aknoun 46%, draw 24%, USM Khenchela 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Ben Aknoun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Ben Aknoun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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