06/04/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
MC Alger vs US Souf Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
85%
15%
Draw
8%
18%
Away Win
6%
41%
Under 2.5
22%
59%
Over 2.5
78%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MC Alger v US Souf — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
MC Alger
EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY
US Souf
EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% /
+5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-12% /
-12%
3.19/0.84
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.44/2.43
+65%
/
-40%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-23%
/
-29%
66%
Ball Possession
34%
19
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
2
9
Corners
3
546 · 88%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
249 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.8
Yellow Cards
2.5
MC Alger vs US Souf Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
MC Alger
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
US Souf
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
25.11.2023
US Souf
3-4
HT 1-3
MC Alger
CZYR
3-4
HT 1-3
MC Alger
CZYR
POST-MATCH
MC Alger vs US Souf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
MC Alger cruised past US Souf 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MC Alger as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
What was the final score of MC Alger vs US Souf?
MC Alger 3-0 US Souf in the Algeria - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MC Alger vs US Souf?
Before kick-off our model rated a MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split MC Alger 67%, draw 15%, US Souf 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Alger), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (MC Alger)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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CZYR
More Algeria - 1st Division
6 Apr 2024