Avarta 2-4 Naesby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 6 Apr 2024

Avarta
2-4 HT 0-1
Naesby
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Avarta vs Naesby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.86
Over 2.5
38%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.73
No
59%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
50%
+11.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
50%
-11.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
54%
-12.6pp
59%
BTTS No
46%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avarta v Naesby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avarta EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Naesby EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.30/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.31
-26% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.9

Avarta vs Naesby Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avarta
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Naesby
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Naesby Naesby 0-0 HT 0-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
POST-MATCH Avarta vs Naesby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby got the better of Avarta 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Naesby found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Avarta vs Naesby?

Avarta 2-4 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avarta vs Naesby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avarta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Avarta 39%, draw 24%, Naesby 36%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avarta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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