Holbaek 1-2 Vanlose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 6 Apr 2024

Holbaek
1-2 HT 0-0
Vanlose
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Holbaek vs Vanlose Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-10.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holbaek v Vanlose — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanlose EU Bookmakers 26%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.47/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.89
-15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Holbaek vs Vanlose Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holbaek
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Vanlose
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.08.2023 Vanlose Vanlose 1-1 HT 1-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs Vanlose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanlose squeezed past Holbaek 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Holbaek at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs Vanlose?

Holbaek 1-2 Vanlose in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs Vanlose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 41%, draw 27%, Vanlose 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Holbaek) ✗ Under 2.5
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