Jaro 1-0 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 6 Apr 2024

Jaro
1-0 HT 1-0
SJK Akatemia
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Finland - Ykköscup – 2024

Jaro vs SJK Akatemia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.15
Over 2.5
64%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.05 — our 32% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
43%
-6.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
57%
+6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jaro v SJK Akatemia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 24%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +61% / +61%
3.67/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+108% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +102%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5

Jaro vs SJK Akatemia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
3W-1D-2L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.02.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-2 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FINYK
28.06.2023 Jaro Jaro 0-1 HT 0-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
14.04.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
20.07.2022 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
02.07.2022 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-3 HT 1-3 Jaro Jaro FİN2
20.10.2020 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-3 HT 1-3 Jaro Jaro FİN2

Jaro 1-0 SJK Akatemia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
1-0
AWAY SJK Akatemia
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jaro vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro nicked a narrow win over SJK Akatemia 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jaro as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jaro had 59% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 41%, shots finished 22-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jaro had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jaro and 1.17 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of Jaro vs SJK Akatemia?

Jaro 1-0 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykköscup on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jaro 48%, draw 23%, SJK Akatemia 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✗ Over 2.5
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