Lens 1-1 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 6 Apr 2024

Lens
1-1 HT 0-0
Le Havre
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Lens vs Le Havre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.75
6+ Goals
10%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.25
X/1
24%
3.47
X/2
7%
12.7
X/X
11%
5.34
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
8%
10.95
2/X
10%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.3pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lens v Le Havre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lens EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.95/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.04
+19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +26%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
443 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
20.4 Crosses 12.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Lens vs Le Havre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lens
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Le Havre
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.21
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 Passes 257
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 0-0 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
31.01.2020 Le Havre Le Havre 0-0 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR2
17.08.2019 Lens Lens 1-3 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
01.04.2019 Lens Lens 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
27.10.2018 Le Havre Le Havre 2-1 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR2
20.04.2018 Lens Lens 3-3 HT 3-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR2

Lens 1-1 Le Havre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens
1-1
AWAY Le Havre
0.98 xG 1.93
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
409 Passes 278
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 22
39 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lens vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lens and Le Havre shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lens at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lens had 58% of the ball to Le Havre's 42%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 0.98 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Havre led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lens and 1.33 for Le Havre.

What was the final score of Lens vs Le Havre?

Lens 1-1 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lens vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lens 53%, draw 27%, Le Havre 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lens), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lens) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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