PSG 1-1 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 6 Apr 2024

PSG
1-1 HT 0-1
Clermont
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

PSG vs Clermont Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.59
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.6
X/1
17%
3.52
X/2
5%
16.85
X/X
12%
7.37
2/1
10%
21.85
2/2
10%
13.0
2/X
5%
20.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-12.4pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.4pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSG v Clermont — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
2.14/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.98
+24% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +18%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
510 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
14.6 Crosses 12.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

PSG vs Clermont Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Clermont
3.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
3.00 xG 1.34
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
561 Passes 356
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Clermont Clermont 0-0 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
03.06.2023 PSG PSG 2-3 HT 2-2 Clermont Clermont FR1
06.08.2022 Clermont Clermont 0-5 HT 0-3 PSG PSG FR1
09.04.2022 Clermont Clermont 1-6 HT 1-2 PSG PSG FR1
11.09.2021 PSG PSG 4-0 HT 2-0 Clermont Clermont FR1

PSG 1-1 Clermont — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
1-1
AWAY Clermont
2.74 xG 0.27
73% Ball Possession 27%
23 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
17 Corners 2
666 Passes 212
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
53 Box Touches 7
45 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH PSG vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG and Clermont couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. PSG carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSG had 73% of the ball to Clermont's 27%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.74 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, PSG had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.40 goals for PSG and 0.80 for Clermont.

What was the final score of PSG vs Clermont?

PSG 1-1 Clermont in the France - Ligue 1 on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split PSG 57%, draw 24%, Clermont 19%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSG) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2024
18:00 Lens vs Le Havre Analysis →