Orlando Pirates 7-1 Golden Arrows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

Orlando Pirates
7-1 HT 3-0
Golden Arrows
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2023/2024

Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 34% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.2pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orlando Pirates v Golden Arrows — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.44/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.12
-11% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
19.0 Crosses 15.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Golden Arrows
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.42 xG 0.62
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
371 Passes 258
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 1-2 HT 1-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
14.01.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-1 HT 1-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
18.10.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-2 HT 0-2 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
16.02.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-0 HT 0-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
20.11.2021 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
02.02.2021 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 2-0 HT 1-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL

Orlando Pirates 7-1 Golden Arrows — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
7-1
AWAY Golden Arrows
5.46 xG 0.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
12 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
412 Passes 310
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 13
8 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates cruised past Golden Arrows 7-1. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 56% of the ball to Golden Arrows's 44%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 5.46 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Orlando Pirates and 0.67 for Golden Arrows.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows?

Orlando Pirates 7-1 Golden Arrows in the South Afrika - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 51%, draw 26%, Golden Arrows 23%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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