Richards Bay 1-0 Moroka Swallows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.63
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.5pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Moroka Swallows EU Bookmakers 29%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
1.36/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.00
-36% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
24.7 Crosses 18.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richards Bay
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Moroka Swallows
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.89 xG 0.46
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
356 Passes 269
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 2-1 HT 1-0 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows GAF8K
15.09.2023 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows 0-1 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
03.02.2023 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows 1-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
31.12.2022 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-0 HT 1-0 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richards Bay
1-0
AWAY Moroka Swallows
1.11 xG 0.72
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
403 Passes 313
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Richards Bay vs Moroka Swallows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richards Bay edged past Moroka Swallows 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Richards Bay as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Richards Bay had 55% of the ball to Moroka Swallows's 45%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.11 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Richards Bay had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Richards Bay and 0.50 for Moroka Swallows.

What was the final score of Richards Bay vs Moroka Swallows?

Richards Bay 1-0 Moroka Swallows in the South Afrika - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richards Bay vs Moroka Swallows?

Before kick-off our model rated a Richards Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Richards Bay 43%, draw 32%, Moroka Swallows 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Richards Bay), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Richards Bay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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