Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 6 Apr 2024

Gimcheon Sangmu
2-1 HT 1-1
Gwangju
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.2
1/2
10%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
14%
5.78
X/2
9%
5.23
X/X
15%
4.0
2/1
10%
34.0
2/2
12%
3.64
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gimcheon Sangmu v Gwangju — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.06/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.33
+34% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
15.8 Crosses 18.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Gwangju
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.18 xG 0.56
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
299 Passes 238
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.10.2020 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
15.09.2020 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
23.05.2020 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
22.10.2017 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
16.09.2017 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 3-2 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
12.07.2017 Gwangju Gwangju 1-2 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR

Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1 Gwangju — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2-1
AWAY Gwangju
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
444 Passes 256
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu edged past Gwangju 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Gimcheon Sangmu found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 61% of the ball to Gwangju's 39%, shots finished 9-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 0.67 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju?

Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 39%, draw 30%, Gwangju 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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