NorthEast United 2-0 Kerala Blasters — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 6 Apr 2024

NorthEast United
2-0 HT 0-0
Kerala Blasters
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

NorthEast United vs Kerala Blasters Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.53
Draw
32%
4.08
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.26
2-3 Goals
34%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.26 — our 29% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
61%
-18.2pp
32%
Draw
21%
+10.6pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NorthEast United v Kerala Blasters — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
446 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
– Crosses 19.4
– Yellow Cards 2.7

NorthEast United vs Kerala Blasters Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NorthEast United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.48 xG 1.61
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
227 Passes 334
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
9 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.01.2024 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 1-4 HT 0-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HINSK
21.10.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 1-1 HT 0-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
29.01.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-0 HT 2-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
05.11.2022 NorthEast United NorthEast United 0-3 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
04.02.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-1 HT 0-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
25.11.2021 NorthEast United NorthEast United 0-0 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL

NorthEast United 2-0 Kerala Blasters — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NorthEast United
2-0
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.38 xG 0.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
268 Passes 219
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH NorthEast United vs Kerala Blasters
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NorthEast United beat Kerala Blasters 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had NorthEast United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, NorthEast United had 52% of the ball to Kerala Blasters's 48%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.38 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kerala Blasters led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NorthEast United and 1.50 for Kerala Blasters.

What was the final score of NorthEast United vs Kerala Blasters?

NorthEast United 2-0 Kerala Blasters in the India - Super League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NorthEast United vs Kerala Blasters?

Before kick-off our model rated a NorthEast United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split NorthEast United 43%, draw 32%, Kerala Blasters 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NorthEast United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NorthEast United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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