Punjab FC 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
54%
Away Win
53%
+1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 57%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.02/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.63
+11% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +60%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
15.2 Crosses 17.8
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Punjab FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.46 xG 1.74
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
287 Passes 415
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-1 HT 2-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Punjab FC
0-1
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
0.38 xG 1.56
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
255 Passes 480
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Punjab FC vs ATK Mohun Bagan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan nicked a narrow win over Punjab FC 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Punjab FC had 39% of the ball to ATK Mohun Bagan's 61%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.38 to 1.56.

What was the final score of Punjab FC vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Punjab FC 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan in the India - Super League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Punjab FC vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Before kick-off our model rated an ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Punjab FC 23%, draw 23%, ATK Mohun Bagan 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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