Dubrava Zagreb 1-2 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 33%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+45% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
1-2
AWAY HNK Cibalia
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dubrava Zagreb vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia edged past Dubrava Zagreb 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dubrava Zagreb at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dubrava Zagreb had 57% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 43%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Dubrava Zagreb vs HNK Cibalia?

Dubrava Zagreb 1-2 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dubrava Zagreb vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dubrava Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dubrava Zagreb 47%, draw 28%, HNK Cibalia 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dubrava Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5
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