Jarun 1-2 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.22/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.01
-16% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dugopolje
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Jarun Jarun 0-2 HT 0-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
1-2
AWAY Dugopolje
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dugopolje edged past Jarun 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Jarun at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jarun had 54% of the ball to Dugopolje's 46%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Dugopolje?

Jarun 1-2 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jarun 45%, draw 26%, Dugopolje 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jarun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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