Jong Sparta 1-0 Kozakken Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
2.38
Over
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.4pp
31%
Draw
23%
+8.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kozakken Boys The Market 27%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.70
+99% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +136%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
1-0
AWAY Kozakken Boys
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs Kozakken Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta nicked a narrow win over Kozakken Boys 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jong Sparta as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 48% of the ball to Kozakken Boys's 52%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs Kozakken Boys?

Jong Sparta 1-0 Kozakken Boys in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs Kozakken Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Sparta win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 46%, draw 31%, Kozakken Boys 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jong Sparta), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jong Sparta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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