Nottingham Forest U21 4-0 Leeds United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.9pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 30%
-66% / -66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-61% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest U21
4-0
AWAY Leeds United U21
2.73 xG 0.32
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
328 Passes 479
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest U21 vs Leeds United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest U21 ran out comfortable winners over Leeds United U21 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nottingham Forest U21 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Nottingham Forest U21 had 43% of the ball to Leeds United U21's 57%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.73 to 0.32.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Nottingham Forest U21 4-0 Leeds United U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest U21 43%, draw 22%, Leeds United U21 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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