Debrecen vs MTK Budapest Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Debrecen v MTK Budapest — Team-Based Signals
Debrecen vs MTK Budapest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Debrecen
MAC
1-3
HT 1-2
MTK Budapest
MAC
3-0
HT 1-0
Debrecen
MAC
1-0
HT 1-0
MTK Budapest
MAC
1-1
HT 1-0
Debrecen
MAC
1-2
HT 0-1
MTK Budapest
MACK
Debrecen 1-2 MTK Budapest — Actual Match Statistics
MTK Budapest edged past Debrecen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Debrecen at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Debrecen had 66% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 34%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.43 to 1.00 — the balance of chances actually favoured Debrecen.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Debrecen and 1.83 for MTK Budapest.
What was the final score of Debrecen vs MTK Budapest?
Debrecen 1-2 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Debrecen vs MTK Budapest?
Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 55%, draw 23%, MTK Budapest 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Debrecen) went the other way.