Diosgyor 1-1 Kisvarda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.87
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.3pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -18%
2.13/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.68
+9% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
395 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
20.0 Crosses 20.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kisvarda
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.80 xG 0.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 Passes 310
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.12.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 1-2 HT 0-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
26.08.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-0 HT 2-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
24.04.2021 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-1 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
06.02.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-0 HT 2-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
01.11.2020 Kisvarda Kisvarda 1-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
27.06.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-2 HT 0-2 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
1-1
AWAY Kisvarda
2.29 xG 2.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
328 Passes 301
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Kisvarda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor and Kisvarda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Diosgyor at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Diosgyor had 52% of the ball to Kisvarda's 48%, shots finished 22-20, expected goals 2.29 to 2.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diosgyor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Diosgyor and 0.67 for Kisvarda.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Kisvarda?

Diosgyor 1-1 Kisvarda in the Hungary - NB I on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Kisvarda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diosgyor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 48%, draw 24%, Kisvarda 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Diosgyor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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