Tijuana vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tijuana v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Tijuana
MEK
1-1
HT 0-1
Tijuana
MEK
1-1
HT 1-1
Necaxa
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
3-0
HT 0-0
Tijuana
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
Tijuana 2-3 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Necaxa squeezed past Tijuana 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Tijuana at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Tijuana had 59% of the ball to Necaxa's 41%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.05 to 1.62.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tijuana and 1.17 for Necaxa.
What was the final score of Tijuana vs Necaxa?
Tijuana 2-3 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Necaxa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 48%, draw 25%, Necaxa 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.