Byasen 2-2 Orkla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 6 Apr 2024

Byasen
2-2 HT 1-1
Orkla
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.32
No
42%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
49%
4-5
21%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
18%
+8.0pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-14.0pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Byasen EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Orkla EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.50/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/2.43
-3% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
447 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Byasen
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Orkla
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Byasen Byasen 2-2 HT 1-1 Orkla Orkla NOR4
06.05.2023 Orkla Orkla 0-6 HT 0-3 Byasen Byasen NOR4
17.09.2022 Orkla Orkla 1-4 HT 0-3 Byasen Byasen NOR4
07.05.2022 Byasen Byasen 2-1 HT 1-0 Orkla Orkla NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Byasen
2-2
AWAY Orkla
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Byasen vs Orkla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Byasen and Orkla couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Byasen at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Byasen had 63% of the ball to Orkla's 37%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Byasen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Byasen and 1.00 for Orkla.

What was the final score of Byasen vs Orkla?

Byasen 2-2 Orkla in the Norway - 3rd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Byasen vs Orkla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Byasen win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Byasen 58%, draw 26%, Orkla 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Byasen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Byasen) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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