Trygg/Lade vs Surnadal Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Trygg/Lade v Surnadal — Team-Based Signals
Trygg/Lade 4-0 Surnadal — Actual Match Statistics
Trygg/Lade cruised past Surnadal 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Trygg/Lade as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.
On the day, Trygg/Lade had 59% of the ball to Surnadal's 41%, shots finished 17-6.
What was the final score of Trygg/Lade vs Surnadal?
Trygg/Lade 4-0 Surnadal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Trygg/Lade vs Surnadal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Trygg/Lade win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Trygg/Lade 47%, draw 26%, Surnadal 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trygg/Lade), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.