Nacional Asuncion 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.13/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.20
-11% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
29.10.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-1 HT 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
12.08.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
06.05.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
25.02.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
09.11.2022 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-2 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1-1
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion and Sportivo Ameliano shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 51% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 49%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 1.00 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Nacional Asuncion 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 38%, draw 27%, Sportivo Ameliano 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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