CD Feirense 1-3 Tondela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tondela EU Bookmakers 42%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.36/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.80
+17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +115%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.2 Crosses 17.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Feirense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tondela
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.82 xG 1.94
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 Passes 258
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.11.2023 Tondela Tondela 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
06.05.2023 Tondela Tondela 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
24.12.2022 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-1 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
19.10.2019 CD Feirense CD Feirense 3-0 HT 2-0 Tondela Tondela POK
17.03.2019 Tondela Tondela 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR
04.11.2018 CD Feirense CD Feirense 2-4 HT 1-1 Tondela Tondela POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Feirense
1-3
AWAY Tondela
1.36 xG 1.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
236 Passes 317
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CD Feirense vs Tondela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tondela saw off CD Feirense 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Tondela found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, CD Feirense had 45% of the ball to Tondela's 55%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.36 to 1.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tondela led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Feirense and 1.50 for Tondela.

What was the final score of CD Feirense vs Tondela?

CD Feirense 1-3 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Feirense vs Tondela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CD Feirense 35%, draw 26%, Tondela 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tondela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tondela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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