Buriram United 1-0 Prachuap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-13.4pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.3pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Prachuap EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
2.00/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.93
+5% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
22.2 Crosses 12.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Prachuap
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
2.09 xG 0.80
57% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
294 Passes 190
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2023 Prachuap Prachuap 0-1 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
02.10.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 3-1 HT 3-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
06.02.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 1-2 HT 1-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
02.10.2021 Prachuap Prachuap 0-2 HT 0-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
1-0
AWAY Prachuap
1.06 xG 0.07
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
526 Passes 201
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 6
19 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Prachuap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United edged past Prachuap 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Buriram United had 69% of the ball to Prachuap's 31%, shots finished 17-2, expected goals 1.06 to 0.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Buriram United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Buriram United and 0.75 for Prachuap.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Prachuap?

Buriram United 1-0 Prachuap in the Thailand - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Prachuap?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 58%, draw 21%, Prachuap 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
6 Apr 2024
14:00 Chiangrai United vs BG Pathum United Analysis →
14:30 Muang Thong United vs Trat Analysis →
16:00 Uthai Thani vs Khonkaen Utd Analysis →