Chiangrai United 2-3 BG Pathum United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

Chiangrai United
2-3 HT 1-3
BG Pathum United
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Chiangrai United vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.1pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chiangrai United v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 56%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.50/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.79
+7% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
10.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
10.3 Crosses 24.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Chiangrai United vs BG Pathum United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangrai United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.92 xG 1.18
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
259 Passes 371
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2022 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 3-1 HT 2-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
12.02.2022 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-2 HT 0-1 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
06.10.2021 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 0-2 HT 0-2 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY

Chiangrai United 2-3 BG Pathum United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangrai United
2-3
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.98 xG 2.20
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
254 Passes 370
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chiangrai United vs BG Pathum United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BG Pathum United nicked a narrow win over Chiangrai United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had BG Pathum United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chiangrai United had 41% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 59%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.98 to 2.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chiangrai United and 1.67 for BG Pathum United.

What was the final score of Chiangrai United vs BG Pathum United?

Chiangrai United 2-3 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangrai United vs BG Pathum United?

Before kick-off our model rated an BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 28%, draw 24%, BG Pathum United 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BG Pathum United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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