Estudiantes De Merida 3-1 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

Estudiantes De Merida
3-1 HT 3-1
Zamora
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes De Merida vs Zamora Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-8.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.5pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes De Merida v Zamora — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.54/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.38
+16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
21.2 Crosses 14.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Estudiantes De Merida vs Zamora Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zamora
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.08 xG 0.59
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
363 Passes 227
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-2 HT 1-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
20.02.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-5 HT 1-4 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
15.09.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
05.03.2022 Zamora Zamora 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
22.10.2021 Zamora Zamora 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
05.09.2021 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-0 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN

Estudiantes De Merida 3-1 Zamora — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
3-1
AWAY Zamora
1.52 xG 0.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
283 Passes 317
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes De Merida saw off Zamora 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Estudiantes De Merida made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 49% of the ball to Zamora's 51%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.52 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamora led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.17 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Zamora?

Estudiantes De Merida 3-1 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zamora win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 31%, draw 29%, Zamora 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zamora) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
6 Apr 2024
02:00 Hermanos Colmenarez vs Academia Puerto Cabello Analysis →