Hermanos Colmenarez 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+10.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-8.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.9pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 50%
+12% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +10%
1.42/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.06
+38% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +37%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
242 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 82%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
17.7 Crosses 26.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.67 xG 1.44
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
258 Passes 380
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-1 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
15.04.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
27.08.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-2 HT 0-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
26.03.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 4-1 HT 2-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
19.11.2021 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 3-1 HT 2-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
31.10.2021 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
1-0
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.90 xG 0.97
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
198 Passes 319
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 23
6 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hermanos Colmenarez vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermanos Colmenarez squeezed past Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Hermanos Colmenarez made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Hermanos Colmenarez had 40% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 60%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.90 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hermanos Colmenarez had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hermanos Colmenarez and 1.17 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Hermanos Colmenarez vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Hermanos Colmenarez 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermanos Colmenarez vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hermanos Colmenarez 37%, draw 25%, Academia Puerto Cabello 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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