OFI 4-0 PAS Giannina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
19.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
17%
4.39
X/2
8%
7.67
X/X
11%
4.12
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
17%
6.02
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY PAS Giannina EU Bookmakers 28%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.26/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.10
-12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
394 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 68%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
21.0 Crosses 15.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
1W-5D-0L
AWAY PAS Giannina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.08
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
442 Passes 247
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 2-2 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
11.11.2023 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 1-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
01.04.2023 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 0-1 HT 0-1 OFI OFI YUN
04.02.2023 OFI OFI 0-0 HT 0-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
16.10.2022 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 2-2 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
08.01.2022 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 0-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
4-0
AWAY PAS Giannina
2.65 xG 0.57
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
437 Passes 262
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH OFI vs PAS Giannina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI swept aside PAS Giannina 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had OFI as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, OFI had 60% of the ball to PAS Giannina's 40%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.65 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, OFI had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for OFI and 1.00 for PAS Giannina.

What was the final score of OFI vs PAS Giannina?

OFI 4-0 PAS Giannina in the Greece - Super League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs PAS Giannina?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split OFI 44%, draw 26%, PAS Giannina 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OFI), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OFI) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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